DING Peng, ZOU Xiaorong, DING Shuyi, BAI Siqi. Study on relationship between Thunnus albacares catches and climatic factors based on CNN-BiLSTM model[J]. South China Fisheries Science, 2024, 20(2): 19-26. DOI: 10.12131/20230190
Citation: DING Peng, ZOU Xiaorong, DING Shuyi, BAI Siqi. Study on relationship between Thunnus albacares catches and climatic factors based on CNN-BiLSTM model[J]. South China Fisheries Science, 2024, 20(2): 19-26. DOI: 10.12131/20230190

Study on relationship between Thunnus albacares catches and climatic factors based on CNN-BiLSTM model

More Information
  • Received Date: October 05, 2023
  • Revised Date: October 31, 2023
  • Accepted Date: December 03, 2023
  • Available Online: December 06, 2023
  • To explore the impact of climatic factors on Thunnus albacares catches, we studied its relationship with low-frequency climatic factors by using correlation analysis, BP neural network, LSTM model, BiLSTM model and CNN-BiLSTM model based on the data of nine climate factors, including Southern Oscillation Index (SOI), Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), North Pacific Index (NPI), global sea-air temperature anomaly index (dT), El Niño-related indexes (Niño1+2, Niño3, Niño4, Niño3.4) from 1960 to 2021, as well as global T. albacares catches data. The results show that the importance of climate change characterization factors on T. albacares catches followed a descending order of dT>SOI>Niño1+2>PDO>NPI>NAO, whose corresponding optimal lag periods were 0, 11, 6, 5, 15 and 0 years, respectively. CNN-BiLSTM model had the highest prediction accuracy, followed by BiLSTM, LSTM and BP. The goodness of fit between the predicted and actual values of CNN-BiLSTM model was 0.887, with a mean absolute error of 0.125 and a root mean square error of 0.154. The trend of predicted values and actual values was basically consistent, indicating a good model fitting effect.

  • [1]
    石肖飞, 王啸, 王佚兮, 等. 热带中西太平洋海域黄鳍金枪鱼的摄食生物学特性[J]. 南方水产科学, 2022, 18(1): 43-51.
    [2]
    郭爱, 陈新军. ENSO与中西太平洋金枪鱼围网资源丰度及其渔场变动的关系[J]. 海洋渔业, 2005(4): 338-342.
    [3]
    林泓羽, 汪金涛, 陈新军, 等. 中西太平洋暖池时空变动及其对鲣分布的影响[J]. 南方水产科学, 2023, 19(3): 173-180. doi: 10.12131/20220235
    [4]
    周为峰, 陈亮亮, 崔雪森, 等. 异常气候下温跃层及时空因子对中西太平洋黄鳍金枪鱼渔场分布的影响[J]. 中国农业科技导报, 2021, 23(10): 192-201.
    [5]
    王啸, 刘文俊, 张健. 基于ARIMA的海洋尼诺指数对中西太平洋黄鳍金枪鱼年际CPUE的影响[J]. 南方水产科学, 2023, 19(4): 10-20. doi: 10.12131/20230007
    [6]
    沈建华, 陈雪冬, 崔雪森. 中西太平洋金枪鱼围网鲣鱼渔获量时空分布分析[J]. 海洋渔业, 2006(1): 13-19.
    [7]
    LU H J, LEE K T, LIN H L, et al. Spatio-temporal distribution of yellowfin tuna Thunnus albacares and bigeye tuna Thunnus obesus in the Tropical Pacific Ocean in relation to large-scale temperature fluctuation during ENSO episodes[J]. Fish Sci, 2001, 67(6): 1046-1052. doi: 10.1046/j.1444-2906.2001.00360.x
    [8]
    李鹏, 许柳雄, 周成, 等. 中西太平洋金枪鱼围网自由鱼群渔场重心变动及其与南方涛动指数的关系[J]. 南方水产科学, 2020, 16(2): 70-76.
    [9]
    KLYASHTORIN L B. Long-term climate change and main commercial fish production in the Atlantic and Pacific[J]. Fish Res, 1998, 37(1/2/3): 115-125.
    [10]
    SOYKAN C U, EGUCHI T, KOHIN S, et al. Prediction of fishing effort distributions using boosted regression trees[J]. Ecol Appl, 2014, 24(1): 71-83. doi: 10.1890/12-0826.1
    [11]
    CHEUNG W W L, LAN V, SARMIENTO J, et al. Large-scale redistribution of maximum fisheries catch potential in the global ocean under climate change[J]. Glob Change Biol, 2010(16): 24-35.
    [12]
    王少琴, 许柳雄, 朱国平, 等. 中西太平洋金枪鱼围网的黄鳍金枪鱼CPUE时空分布及其与环境因子的关系[J]. 大连海洋大学学报, 2014, 29(3): 303-308.
    [13]
    唐峰华, 崔雪森, 杨胜龙, 等. 海洋环境对中西太平洋金枪鱼围网渔场影响的GIS时空分析[J]. 南方水产科学, 2014, 10(2): 18-26.
    [14]
    肖启华, 黄硕琳. 气候变化对东南太平洋智利竹䇲鱼渔获量的影响[J]. 中国水产科学, 2021, 28(8): 1020-1029.
    [15]
    周永江, 姚宜斌, 熊永良, 等. 基于Spearman秩相关系数的PWV与PM2.5相关性研究[J]. 大地测量与地球动力学, 2020, 40(3): 236-241.
    [16]
    肖启华. 气候变化背景下东南太平洋智利竹䇲鱼资源评估模型研究[D]. 上海: 上海海洋大学, 2021: 16-42.
    [17]
    肖启华, 黄硕琳. 气候变化对海洋渔业资源的影响[J]. 水产学报, 2016, 40(7): 1089-1098.
    [18]
    徐策, 张力, 余静, 等. 气候变化对中国近海捕捞渔业的影响: 以太平洋年代际涛动为例[J]. 资源科学, 2022, 44(2): 386-400.
    [19]
    宋利明, 任士雨, 张敏, 等. 基于集成学习的大西洋热带水域大眼金枪鱼渔情预报[J]. 水产学报, 2023, 47(4): 64-76.
    [20]
    刘佳翰, 陈克绪, 马建, 等. 基于卷积神经网络和随机森林的三相电压暂降分类[J]. 电力系统保护与控制, 2019, 47(20): 112-118.
    [21]
    许回. 不同空间分辨率对LSTM渔场预报精度的影响及在最佳空间分辨率下其预报结果与QRM结果的比较[D]. 上海: 上海海洋大学, 2023: 18-21.
    [22]
    周凯, 焦龄霄, 胡志坚, 等. 基于注意力机制的CNN-BiLSTM操作票自动校核方法[J]. 武汉大学学报(工学版), 2023, 56(9): 1114-1123.
    [23]
    陈纬楠, 胡志坚, 岳菁鹏, 等. 基于长短期记忆网络和LightGBM组合模型的短期负荷预测[J]. 电力系统自动化, 2021, 45(4): 91-97.
    [24]
    范宇雪, 王江文, 梅桂明, 等. 基于BI-LSTM的小样本滚动轴承故障诊断方法研究[J]. 噪声与振动控制, 2020, 40(4): 103-108.
    [25]
    郭力, 郑良瑞, 冯浪. 基于相关性分析与CNN-BiLSTM神经网络的PSZ陶瓷磨削表面粗糙度智能预测[J]. 南京航空航天大学学报, 2023, 55(3): 401-409.
    [26]
    袁红春, 张永, 张天蛟. 基于EMD-BiLSTM的太平洋大眼金枪鱼渔场预报模型研究[J]. 渔业现代化, 2021, 48(1): 87-96.
    [27]
    LIN D M, CHEN X J, CHEN Y, et al. Ovarian development in Argentinean shortfin squid Illexargentinus: group-synchrony for corroboration of intermittent spawning strategy[J]. Hydrobiologia, 2017, 795(1): 327-339. doi: 10.1007/s10750-017-3154-y
    [28]
    RODHOUSE P G. Managing and forecasting squid fisheries in variable environments[J]. Fish Res, 2001, 54(1): 3-8. doi: 10.1016/S0165-7836(01)00370-8
    [29]
    余为, 陈新军, 易倩. 不同气候模态下西北太平洋柔鱼渔场环境特征分析[J]. 水产学报, 2017, 41(4): 525-534.
    [30]
    陈丙见, 冯志萍, 余为. 厄尔尼诺和拉尼娜发生期太平洋褶柔鱼秋生群资源丰度的响应研究[J]. 中国水产科学, 2022, 29(11): 1636-1646.
    [31]
    周甦芳. 厄尔尼诺-南方涛动现象对中西太平洋鲣鱼围网渔场的影响[J]. 中国水产科学, 2005, 12(6): 73-78.
    [32]
    官文江, 朱江峰, 高峰. 印度洋长鳍金枪鱼资源评估的影响因素分析[J]. 中国水产科学, 2018, 25(5): 1102-1114.
    [33]
    李娜, 陆化杰, 陈新军. 基于不同BP神经网络的西南大西洋阿根廷滑柔鱼渔场预报模型比较[J]. 广东海洋大学学报, 2017, 37(1): 65-71.
    [34]
    丁鹏, 邹晓荣, 白思琦, 等. 东南太平洋智利竹䇲鱼渔场时空分析与资源丰度的预测[J]. 大连海洋大学学报, 2021, 36(4): 629-636.
    [35]
    丁鹏, 邹晓荣, 冯超, 等. 东南太平洋智利竹䇲鱼的洄游路线[J]. 大连海洋大学学报, 2021, 36(6): 1027-1034.
    [36]
    陈雪忠, 樊伟, 崔雪森, 等. 基于随机森林的印度洋长鳍金枪鱼渔场预报[J]. 海洋学报(中文版), 2013, 35(1): 158-164.
    [37]
    房崇鑫, 盛震宇, 夏明, 等. 基于CNN-BiLSTM混合神经网络的雷达信号调制方式识别[J/OL]. 无线电工程: 1-10. [2023-09-28].
    [38]
    国显达, 那日萨, 崔少泽. 基于CNN-BiLSTM的消费者网络评论情感分析[J]. 系统工程理论与实践, 2020, 40(3): 653-663.
    [39]
    HAMPTON J, LEWIS A, WILLIAMS P. The western and central Pacific tuna fishery: overview and status of stocks [M]// New Caledonia: Secretariat of the Pacific Community, 1999: 8-12.
    [40]
    HAMPTON J. Estimates of tag-reporting and tag-shedding rates in a large-scale tuna tagging experiment in the western tropical Pacific Ocean[J]. Oceanogr Lit Rev, 1997, 95(1): 68-79.
    [41]
    BAKUN A, PARRISH R H. Comparative studies of coastal pelagic fish reproductive habitats: the Brazilian sardine (Sardinella aurita)[J]. ICES J Mar Sci, 1990, 46(3): 269-283. doi: 10.1093/icesjms/46.3.269
    [42]
    DEARY A L, MORET-FERGUSON S, ENGELS M, et al. Influence of Central Pacific oceanographic conditions on the potential vertical habitat of four tropical tuna species[J]. Pac Sci, 2015, 69(4): 461-476. doi: 10.2984/69.4.3
    [43]
    ERNESTO T O, ARTURO M M, ARMANDO T, et al. Variation in yellowfin tuna (Thunnus albacares) catches related to El Niño-Southern Oscillation events at the entrance to the Gulf of California[J]. Fish Bull, 2006, 104(2): 197-203.
    [44]
    WILLIAMS P, RUAIA T. Overview of tuna fisheries in the western and central Pacific Ocean, including economic conditions–2019[C]//16th WCPFC Scientific Committee Meeting (SC16). Pohnpei State, Federated States of Micronesia: WCPFC, 2020: 7.
    [45]
    SIRABELLA P, GIULIANI A, COLOSIMO A, DIPPNER J W. Breaking down the climate effects on cod recruitment by principal component analysis and canonical correlation[J]. Mar Ecol Prog Ser, 2001(216): 213-222.
    [46]
    OTTERSEN G, STENSETH N C. Atlantic climate governs oceanographic and ecological variability in the Barents Sea[J]. Limnol Oceanogr, 2001, 46(7): 1774-1780. doi: 10.4319/lo.2001.46.7.1774
    [47]
    WU L X, LIU Z Y, LIU Y, et al. Potential global climatic impacts of the North Pacific Ocean[J]. Geophys Res Lett, 2005, 32(24): L24710.
  • Related Articles

    [1]HUA Qinghong, ZHAO Yuxuan, XIAO Lin, XU Ke, GE Yongchun, SUN Yunfei, CHENG Yongxu. Water quality evaluation for Eriocheir sinensis aquaculture ponds with different aquatic plants[J]. South China Fisheries Science, 2025, 21(1): 131-139. DOI: 10.12131/20240059
    [2]WU Peng, LIU Yong, XIAO Yayuan, XIE Yufang, TANG Guanglong, LIN Lin, WANG Teng, LI Chunhou. Evaluation of fisheries ecological environment in adjacent sea areas of Wanshan Archipelago in Pearl River Estuary in spring[J]. South China Fisheries Science, 2022, 18(5): 1-8. DOI: 10.12131/20210332
    [3]LI Shuaipeng, XU Bin, WANG Kun, HUANG Minqiao, YANG Dazuo, ZHOU Yibing. Southwards cultivation and nutrition composition analysis of Marphysa maxidenticulata[J]. South China Fisheries Science, 2021, 17(6): 93-100. DOI: 10.12131/20200222
    [4]YANG Wenchao, HUANG Daojian, CHEN Jixin, CHEN Xiaoyan, WANG Yushan. Spatio-temporal distribution and eutrophication assessment of nutrients in Daya Bay during 2009–2015[J]. South China Fisheries Science, 2020, 16(2): 54-61. DOI: 10.12131/20190244
    [5]LIAO Xiuli, HUANG Honghui, QI Zhanhui, DAI Ming, LIU Huaxue. Comprehensive rating quantitative assessment on aquaculture environment of subtropical bay in northern South Sea China[J]. South China Fisheries Science, 2020, 16(1): 98-109. DOI: 10.12131/20190067
    [6]PENG Xuan, MA Shengwei, CHEN Haigang, ZHANG Zhe, ZHOU Yanbo, CAI Wengui. Spatial distribution and assessment of nutrients in marine ranching in Zhelin Bay-Nanao Island in summer[J]. South China Fisheries Science, 2014, 10(6): 27-35. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.2095-0780.2014.06.004
    [7]WANG Lihua, CAO Yucheng, LI Zhuojia. Algae-constraining effect of algae-lysing bacteria and its application prospect in shrimp ponds[J]. South China Fisheries Science, 2012, 8(4): 76-82. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.2095-0780.2012.04.012
    [8]CAO Yucheng, LI Zhuojia, YANG Yingying, WEN Guoliang, HUANG Honghui. Effects of Bacillus licheniformis strain De on growth of Sparus latus and main environmental factors in aquaculture pond[J]. South China Fisheries Science, 2010, 6(3): 1-6. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1673-2227.2010.03.001
    [9]GAO Peng, LAI Zini, WEI Taili, YANG Wanling, PANG Shixun, XIE Wenping. Investigation of inorganic nitrogen and active phosphorus contents in Pearl River Estuary[J]. South China Fisheries Science, 2007, 3(4): 32-37.
    [10]LIU Jianjun, JIA Xiaoping, GAN Juli, LI Chunhou, LI Zhuojia. Residue characteristics and risk evaluation of BHC and DDT in sediments of culture ponds in Zhuhai[J]. South China Fisheries Science, 2006, 2(5): 56-60.
  • Cited by

    Periodical cited type(5)

    1. 廖韬梁,王芷禧,栗志民. 北部湾沿海不同地理群体施氏獭蛤形态差异分析. 安徽农业科学. 2025(01): 107-112 .
    2. 吴韬,潘英,刘一鸣,连昌朋,徐炳杰,王超奇,杨凌. 广西北部湾海域施氏獭蛤精巢发育、精子发生及超微结构观察. 热带海洋学报. 2024(02): 69-80 .
    3. 刘一鸣,徐炳杰,王超奇,杨凌,裴琨,韦朝民,曾尚伟,潘英. 广西北部湾织锦巴非蛤中培和养成期生长特性的比较. 南方农业学报. 2024(06): 1828-1842 .
    4. 吴韬,潘英,连昌朋,刘一鸣,徐炳杰,王超奇,杨凌. 广西北部湾施氏獭蛤卵巢发育、卵子和卵黄发生的研究. 热带海洋学报. 2023(06): 137-149 .
    5. 杨凌,刘一鸣,徐炳杰,王超奇,吴韬,邢清淦,裴琨,韦朝民,曾尚伟,潘英. 钝缀锦蛤在北海、防城港、钦州海区的中培与养成实验. 南方水产科学. 2023(06): 38-50 . 本站查看

    Other cited types(3)

Catalog

    Recommendations
    Effects of flour types on quality for fried tilapia meat coated with batter
    YUN Wanli et al., SOUTH CHINA FISHERIES SCIENCE, 2025
    Effect of blanching treatment on oyster meat quality during refrigeration and frozen storage
    CUI Junwei et al., SOUTH CHINA FISHERIES SCIENCE, 2025
    Study on disturbance of oyster culture on environmental factors and bacterioplankton in dapeng cove
    TONG Fei et al., SOUTH CHINA FISHERIES SCIENCE, 2024
    Improvement of gel strength of fermented tilapia surimi bylactiplantibacillus plantarumthrough inhibition of protein hydrolysis
    CUI Qiaoyan et al., SOUTH CHINA FISHERIES SCIENCE, 2024
    Effect of airflow crushing and drying on the moisture content of carbon nanotubes
    YAN Cuiping,LI Yang,LI Shilong,YAN Shaowen,ZHANG Mingxing,LI Hong, CHINA POWDER SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY, 2024
    A review: research progress on prevention and control methods of cyanobacterial blooms
    XU Zhenghong et al., CHINESE JOURNAL OF FISHERIES, 2024
    Drought-tolerant bacteria and arbuscular mycorrhizal fungi mitigate the detrimental effects of drought stress induced by withholding irrigation at critical growth stages of soybean (glycine max, l.)
    Nader, Aya Ahmed et al., MICROORGANISMS, 2024
    Accumulation of microplastics in soil after long-term application of biosolids and atmospheric deposition
    Adhikari, Kaushik et al., SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT, 2024
    Self-aeration development and fully cross-sectional air diffusion in high-speed open channel flows
    JOURNAL OF HYDRAULIC RESEARCH, 2022
    Investigation on aging behavior and failure mechanism of blast-resistant polyurea coating in service environments
    MATERIALS TODAY COMMUNICATIONS, 2025
    Powered by
    Article views (199) PDF downloads (53) Cited by(8)
    Related

    /

    DownLoad:  Full-Size Img  PowerPoint
    Return
    Return