冷藏大黄鱼不同细菌生长模型的比较

Comparison of different bacteria growth models on chilled Pseudosciaena crocea

  • 摘要: 主要研究了养殖大黄鱼0、5℃冷藏过程鱼肉中细菌变化情况,采用修正的Logistic和Gompertz模型拟合细菌生长曲线, 经非线性回归分析求出生长动力学参数和细菌生长预测模型。结果表明,所建立的模型相关系数均大于0.99, 能有效描述菌落总数的动态变化,预测不同贮藏时间内的菌落总数。为验证模型的适用性,把不同时间的菌落总数预测值和实测值比较,依据均方根评价建立的细菌生长预测模型的适用性。0、5℃冷藏过程Gompertz模型均方根分别为0.077和0.100,Logistic模型均方根分别为0.114和0.138,2种模型相比,Gompertz预测结果更为理想。

     

    Abstract: Bacterial changes of fish flesh in cultured Pseudosciaena crocea stored aerobically at 0, 5℃ were mainly analyzed, bacteria growth curves of chilled cultured P.crocea was fitted using modified Logistic and Gompertz equations.Kinetic parameters of bacterial growth and predictive model were developed with nonlinear estimation equations. The results showed that the correlation coefficient of developed models was over 0.99, indicating predictive models make it possible to describe the dynamic changes and predict the bacterial number stored at different time. Difference between predicted values and observed values were compared with root mean squares (RMS) for validating the goodness of predictive models of the bacterial growth. RMS of the Gompertz model were 0.077 and 0.100, and RMS of the Logistic model were 0.114 and 0.138 at 0, 5℃, respectively. Predicted values of the Gompertz were significant compared with the Logistic model.

     

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