融合领域知识与贝叶斯推理的鱼病诊断方法研究

Research on a fish disease diagnosis method integrating domain knowledge and Bayesian inference

  • 摘要: 针对水产养殖场景中鱼病病例数据获取困难、特征描述异质化和信息不完备等问题,研究提出一种知识驱动的轻量化诊断方法。该方法系统梳理国内淡水鱼类病害权威文献及专著,对所获取的病害相关信息进行多粒度语义消歧及标准化处理,构建涵盖4 种疾病类型、83 种疾病、9 个发病部位及61 种典型症状表现的专家知识库。采用布尔编码将专家知识转化为特征向量,构建朴素贝叶斯诊断模型,实现小样本概率推理诊断。为评估模型的实际应用性能,设计基于组合数学子集枚举的干扰验证策略,模拟真实诊疗中的症状缺失与误报场景。结果表明,在信息完整条件下,所提出模型的准确率、F1值等核心指标均高于0.98,在缺失或干扰条件下仍维持在0.85以上,性能优于对比模型。模型在Raspberry Pi 5平台上训练与验证耗时均处于毫秒级,中央处理器(Central processing unit, CPU)平均利用率为4.8%。结果表明,该方法在小样本、症状缺失和误报干扰条件下具有较好的诊断稳定性与抗干扰能力,且计算开销低、适于低算力终端部署,可为基层水产养殖场景中的鱼病辅助诊断提供技术支撑。

     

    Abstract: To address the problems of limited fish disease case data, heterogeneous feature descriptions, and incomplete information in aquaculture scenarios, this study proposes a knowledge-driven lightweight diagnostic method. Authoritative literature and monographs on freshwater fish diseases in China were systematically reviewed, and the acquired disease-related information was subjected to multi-granularity semantic disambiguation and standardized processing. An expert knowledge base was constructed, covering 4 disease type, 83 diseases, 9 symptom part, and 61 typical symptom. Boolean encoding was used to transform expert knowledge into feature vectors, and a Naive Bayes diagnostic model was developed to enable small-sample probabilistic reasoning. To evaluate the practical application performance of the model, an interference validation strategy based on combinatorial subset enumeration was designed to simulate symptom omission and false-reporting scenarios in real diagnostic processes. The results showed that under complete-information conditions, the proposed model achieved accuracy, F1-score, and other core metrics above 0.98; under missing or noisy conditions, its performance remained above 0.85 and outperformed the comparative models. On a Raspberry Pi 5 platform, the training and validation times of the model were both at the millisecond level, with an average central processing unit (CPU) utilization of 4.8%. These results indicate that the proposed method has good diagnostic stability and anti-interference ability under small-sample, symptom-omission, and false-reporting conditions. It also has low computational overhead and is suitable for deployment on low-computing-power terminals, providing technical support for auxiliary fish disease diagnosis in grassroots aquaculture scenarios.

     

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