基于最大熵模型的长江口三类生态型仔稚鱼生境分布特征

Habitat distribution characteristics of three ecological types of larval fish in the Yangtze River estuary based on Maximum Entropy model

  • 摘要: 为解析长江口洄游性、海洋性与河口性三类仔稚鱼生境分布的环境驱动因子,根据2022年9月 (夏季)、2023年4月 (春季) 长江口仔稚鱼采样数据,采用最大熵模型 (Maximum Entropy, MaxEnt) 分析凤鲚 (Coilia mystus,洄游性)、鳀 (Engraulis japonicus,海洋性) 和香䲗 (Callionymus olidus,河口性) 的生境分布特征及其环境驱动机制。结果表明,长江口南支的海表面温度、pH、营养盐高于北支,而北支的海表面盐度、叶绿素高于南支;MaxEnt模型对这3种仔稚鱼生境分布具有较强的预测能力 曲线下面积 (Area under the curve, AUC>0.8),且春季略优于夏季;影响凤鲚和香䲗春、夏季生境分布的关键因子均为海表面溶解氧 (相对贡献率分别为80.8%和86.6%,39.8%和30.2%),而鳀为海表面盐度 (分别为44.0%和79.0%)。不同生态类型仔稚鱼的生境特征及其关键环境因子存在显著性差异,导致其早期生活史阶段的补充过程对环境变化的响应呈现种间特异性。因此,长江口仔稚鱼资源的保护需针对不同生态类型鱼类的生物学特性及栖息地需求,制定差异化的保护策略。

     

    Abstract: To investigate the environmental driving factors of habitat distribution for migratory, marine, and estuarine larval fishes in the Yangtze River estuary, based on the larval fish sampling data collected in the Yangtze River estuary during September 2022 (Summer) and April 2023 (Spring), we applied the Maximum Entropy (MaxEnt) model to analyze the habitat distribution characteristics and environmental driving mechanisms of Coilia mystus (Migratory species), Engraulis japonicus (Marine species) and Callionymus olidus (Estuarine species). The results reveal that the south branch exhibited higher sea surface temperature (SST), pH (SpH) and nutrient levels (SNITRO), while the north branch showed higher sea surface salinity (SSS) and chlorophyll concentration (SCHL). The MaxEnt model demonstrated strong predictive capability for habitat distribution of these three larval fishes AUC (Area under the curve) >0.8, with slightly better performance in spring than summer. Sea surface dissolved oxygen was the key factor influencing habitat distribution for both C. mystus (Relative contributions: 80.8% in spring and 86.6% in summer) and C. olidus (44.0% and 79.0%), whereas sea surface salinity dominated for E. japonicus (44.0% and 79.0%). There are significant differences in the habitat characteristics and key environmental factors of larval fish of different ecological types, leading to species-specific responses in their early life history replenishment processes to environmental changes. Therefore, the protection of juvenile fish resources in the Yangtze River estuary requires the development of differentiated protection strategies based on the biological characteristics and habitat needs of different ecological types of fish.

     

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