基于长度贝叶斯生物量估算法评估北部湾大头白姑鱼资源状况

Assessment of Pennahia macrocephalus stock in Beibu Gulf by length Bayesian biomass estimation method

  • 摘要: 大头白姑鱼 (Pennahia macrocephalus) 是北部湾主要经济鱼类种群之一,研究其资源状况对北部湾渔业资源的可持续利用具有重要意义。该研究基于2006—2014年北部湾大头白姑鱼生物学数据,通过长度贝叶斯生物量估算法 (Length-based Bayesian biomass estimation method, LBB) 估算大头白姑鱼的渐进体长 (L)、相对自然死亡率 (M/k)、相对捕捞死亡率 (F/k)、相对总死亡率 (Z/k)、最适开捕体长 (Lc_opt)、开发率 (E) 和相对生物量开发指标 (B/B0)。结果表明,2006—2014年北部湾大头白姑鱼的平均L为265 mm,平均Lc_opt为157 mm,M/kF/kZ/k分别为1.39、3.58和4.96;Lc_opt呈上升趋势,而L呈下降趋势。目前大头白姑鱼E较高 (0.58),B/B0 小于0.5,表明当前北部湾大头白姑鱼资源处于过度开发状态。

     

    Abstract: Pennahia macrocephalus, one of the major commercial fishes in the Beibu Gulf, is of great significance to study its stocks status. Based on the biological data of P. macrocephalus collected in the Beibu Gulf from 2006 to 2014, we estimated the asymptotic body length (L), relative natural mortality (M/k), relative fishing mortality (F/k), relative total mortality (Z/k), optimal body length-at-first-capture (Lc_opt), exploitation rate (E) and relative biomass index (B/B0) by the length-based Bayesian biomass estimation method (LBB). Results show that the average L and Lc_opt were 265 mm and 157 mm, respectively, and the relative mortality rates of M/k, F/k and Z/k were 1.39, 3.58 and 4.96, respectively. The Lc_opt of P. macrocephalus showed an increasing trend while the L showed a decreasing trend. At present, the E of P. macrocephalus is relatively high (0.58), indicating the resources have been in the state of overexploited. The B/B0 is less than 0.5, indicating the overexploitation of current stocks.

     

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